China Market Intelligence

May 22nd, 2024
By John Clark with assistance from Bowei Wang

US-China bilateral trade in goods decreased by 2.9 percent year-on-year in Q1, despite US-worldwide trade increasing by 0.5 percent, the first such increase in US-worldwide trade since Q1 of last year. Bilateral trade has underperformed US-worldwide trade for the last three years due to shifts in trading patterns driven by economic and geopolitical factors.

May 22nd, 2024
By Rachel Farmer

On May 17, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) introduced several new incentives for people to buy homes, including scrapping minimum interest rates on mortgages for new and pre-owned homes, and reducing the minimum down payment ratio for first-home buyers from 20 percent to 15 percent and for second homes from 30 percent to 25 percent. These are the lowest ratios since mortgages were introduced in 1992.

May 22nd, 2024
By Yan Yu

China’s National People’s Congress (NPC) and State Council have both released their legislative plans for the rest of 2024, reflecting China’s regulatory priorities in a wide array of economic and civil society matters.

May 15th, 2024
By Kyle Sullivan
USTR plans to levy tariffs against a range of “strategic” goods from China. The forthcoming tariffs and USTR findings of state-sponsored forced technology transfer follow nearly six months of more constructive dialogue between the two governments. An economic slowdown and weak business sentiment in China will factor into Beijing’s response.
May 9th, 2024
By Allison Lapehn
​China's economy surpassed expectations in the first quarter, growing at a rate of 5.3 percent year-on-year, comfortably exceeding the 4.6 percent increase forecasted by a Reuters poll of economists.
May 9th, 2024
By Felix Li with assistance from Jie Yu
The State Council recently launched its “trade-in old for new” (以旧换新) campaign intended to upgrade China’s manufacturing capability and incentivize consumers to make big-ticket purchases. While the central government-level message is positive, it remains to be seen how effective this campaign will be at the local level, where these programs will be implemented.
May 9th, 2024
By Joseph Rafshoon
A bill to alter the de minimis provision was recently approved by the House committee with jurisdiction over trade. The bill would subject many products from China to tariffs they were previously able to bypass. Since it lacks Democratic support, the chances of it becoming law in Congress this year are slim.
April 18th, 2024
By Zach Tomatz

The Biden administration has characterized its strategy for regulating commerce with China as a “small-yard, high-fence” approach, saying it will promote what it can and protect what it must. Under this framework, access to certain dual use technologies and services is controlled, while other, non-sensitive areas are not restricted, tariffs notwithstanding.

April 18th, 2024
By Greyson Mann

The US-China Commercial Issues Working Group (CIWG), the first commercial bilateral mechanism between the United States and China in seven years, recently concluded its first meeting, which took place in Washington, DC.

April 18th, 2024
By June Xu and Siyao Mao

China has seen several high-level personnel changes at the central and provincial levels over the last few months. On February 7, Wu Qing (吴清), previously the deputy party chief of Shanghai, assumed the role of chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), succeeding Yi Huiman (易会满).

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