Research & Analysis

China’s Economy Resilient in Q1, Iran Conflict Clouds the Outlook
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China’s Economy Resilient in Q1, Iran Conflict Clouds the Outlook

According to official government data, China’s real GDP grew 5% year-on-year in the first three months of 2026 to 33.42 trillion yuan ($4.9 trillion), beating expectations and reversing the downward trend seen in the second half of 2025. Strong industrial output and foreign trade drove growth, but weak demand weighed on overall activity and clouds the outlook for the rest of the year.

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Short takes on policy and regulatory actions that impact the business environment.

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Weekly recaps of every noteworthy development in the US legislative and executive branches.

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Momentum Builds in Washington to Delist Chinese Firms From US Exchanges
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Momentum Builds in Washington to Delist Chinese Firms From US Exchanges

A subset of lawmakers have long argued that listing on US exchanges allows Chinese firms to benefit from American capital while supporting China’s military modernization efforts. In his first term, President Donald Trump launched an effort to prohibit US investments in Chinese companies deemed to be connected to China’s military, resulting in the delisting of several major Chinese state-owned enterprises.

Progress on Fentanyl, Commerce Weighs Export Restrictions, and New Legislation Could Impact China Trade
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Progress on Fentanyl, Commerce Weighs Export Restrictions, and New Legislation Could Impact China Trade

Six Chinese government agencies issued a joint statement on Monday adding two precursor chemicals (4-piperidone and 1-tert-butoxycarbonyl-4-piperidone) to a list of Class Two chemicals that will be subject to tougher supervision starting July 20.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
Congressional Look-Ahead: What We Are Watching on China
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Congressional Look-Ahead: What We Are Watching on China

All eyes are on the Senate to pass the reconciliation tax and spending package after the House passed its version by a vote of 215–214. The so-called big, beautiful bill is aimed at making 2017 tax cuts permanent and includes provisions related to energy, health care, and other economic issues. It is a budget reconciliation bill which is designed to fast-track policy and avoid higher vote thresholds for passage. Several provisions have important US-China trade implications.

Trade Talks Back on After Trump-Xi Call
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Trade Talks Back on After Trump-Xi Call

US trade negotiators will meet “soon” with their Chinese counterparts to restart negotiations following a Thursday call between President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping. It was their first formal contact since Trump’s inauguration and comes as talks have stalled, with both sides accusing the other of breaking with commitments agreed upon last month in Geneva.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
Courts Challenge Trump Tariffs, Commerce Restricts Certain China Exports, and Chinese Student Visas Targeted
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Courts Challenge Trump Tariffs, Commerce Restricts Certain China Exports, and Chinese Student Visas Targeted

The US Court of International Trade on Wednesday struck down President Donald Trump’s tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, ruling that the president exceeded his authority. This includes the so-called reciprocal tariffs levied on numerous countries, including China, on April 2; the universal 10% baseline tariff on all other countries; and tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada related to fentanyl concerns.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
China’s Evolving Bonded Zone Policy: What to Know Ahead of June Update
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China’s Evolving Bonded Zone Policy: What to Know Ahead of June Update

Under this system, duties are incurred only when goods enter China’s domestic market. However, to close tax loopholes and monitor specific “sensitive” goods, the new rules impose stricter requirements on the  storage, processing, and domestic sales of sensitive imports, while also narrowing the scope of goods impacted.

Macroeconomy, Finance, and Procurement Among China’s Legislative Priorities
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Macroeconomy, Finance, and Procurement Among China’s Legislative Priorities

On May 14, China’s National People’s Congress and State Council released their legislative plans for 2025, offering a window into economic and social priorities. Included are a landmark law to guide macroeconomic development planning, stricter regulation of financial markets, and legal tools to respond to foreign sanctions.

China Market Intelligence June Xu, Lipei Zhang, with assistance from Kang Taicheng
Geneva Talks Lead to Delicate Truce
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Geneva Talks Lead to Delicate Truce

Talks between US and Chinese negotiators in Geneva over the weekend were more constructive than anticipated. In a joint statement, the two sides drastically reduced baseline tariffs on the other for 90 days to facilitate further negotiations. The reprieve will bring some relief to US companies and consumers, but tariff rates remain high and negotiators face several obstacles to a durable settlement.