Research & Analysis

China’s Economy Resilient in Q1, Iran Conflict Clouds the Outlook
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China’s Economy Resilient in Q1, Iran Conflict Clouds the Outlook

According to official government data, China’s real GDP grew 5% year-on-year in the first three months of 2026 to 33.42 trillion yuan ($4.9 trillion), beating expectations and reversing the downward trend seen in the second half of 2025. Strong industrial output and foreign trade drove growth, but weak demand weighed on overall activity and clouds the outlook for the rest of the year.

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Weekly recaps of every noteworthy development in the US legislative and executive branches.

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Week in Review: Biden Calls for Tariff Hikes on China, House May Soon Vote on TikTok Bill 2.0, and Committee Approves De Minimis Bill
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Week in Review: Biden Calls for Tariff Hikes on China, House May Soon Vote on TikTok Bill 2.0, and Committee Approves De Minimis Bill

On Wednesday, President Joe Biden called on the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) to triple the Section 301 tariff rate on Chinese steel and aluminum to 22.5 percent, up from a current average of 7.5 percent. The increased Section 301 tariffs would be added on top of an import’s regular duty rate and any existing antidumping and countervailing duties.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
New Rules on Tech Broaden US Government Controls, Draw Focus to Transnational Subsidies
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New Rules on Tech Broaden US Government Controls, Draw Focus to Transnational Subsidies

The Biden administration has characterized its strategy for regulating commerce with China as a “small-yard, high-fence” approach, saying it will promote what it can and protect what it must. Under this framework, access to certain dual use technologies and services is controlled, while other, non-sensitive areas are not restricted, tariffs notwithstanding.

China Market Intelligence Zach Tomatz
Commercial Issues Working Group Vice Ministerial and Yellen Visit Set Stage for Discussions on Data, Climate, and More
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Commercial Issues Working Group Vice Ministerial and Yellen Visit Set Stage for Discussions on Data, Climate, and More

The US-China Commercial Issues Working Group (CIWG), the first commercial bilateral mechanism between the United States and China in seven years, recently concluded its first meeting, which took place in Washington, DC. The mechanism was created last fall, during talks between Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo and Commerce Minister Wang Wentao, as a platform for the private sector to raise specific issues with both governments.

Week In Review: Yellen’s China Trip, US Holds Multilateral Meetings with Partners, and Tai to Testify before Congress with Eye on China
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Week In Review: Yellen’s China Trip, US Holds Multilateral Meetings with Partners, and Tai to Testify before Congress with Eye on China

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen visited China on a trip that ended Tuesday to discuss economic and national security matters with senior Chinese officials. In meetings, Yellen expressed concerns about Chinese “overcapacity” and the negative impacts on US businesses.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
China’s Path to Achieving a Consumption-Driven Economy Remains Unclear
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China’s Path to Achieving a Consumption-Driven Economy Remains Unclear

Chinese state planners have long recognized the imperative of transitioning toward a consumption-driven economy for long-term stability. But a deflationary domestic economy, low business and consumer confidence following COVID-19, geopolitical tensions, and supply chain disruptions have stifled spending.

China Market Intelligence Allison Lapehn, Taicheng Kang
Week in Review: Bilateral Engagements Follow Biden-Xi Call, TikTok Bill Slows in Senate, and BIS Issues Export Controls Clean-up Rule
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Week in Review: Bilateral Engagements Follow Biden-Xi Call, TikTok Bill Slows in Senate, and BIS Issues Export Controls Clean-up Rule

On Tuesday, President Joe Biden and President Xi Jinping held their sixth conversation since Biden took office, building upon discussions from their summit in San Francisco last November. According to the US readout, Biden touched on US export controls, Taiwan, the South China Sea, and Russia, among other issues important to US economic and national security.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
China’s New Action Plan to Attract Foreign Investment
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China’s New Action Plan to Attract Foreign Investment

China’s leadership is ramping up engagement with foreign business executives as the country works to increase foreign direct investment, which reached a 30-year low in 2023 amid poor sentiment from the business community driven by concerns over weak demand, overcapacity, geopolitical uncertainty, and long-standing regulatory issues.

China Market Intelligence John Clark, Gavin Fu
New Cross-Border Data Developments Relax Some Compliance Burdens
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New Cross-Border Data Developments Relax Some Compliance Burdens

After six months of anticipation, the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) finalized the Provisions on Facilitating and Regulating Cross-Border Data Flow on March 22, representing a pivotal step in the evolution of China’s data governance landscape. The provisions serve as a final rule to the draft rule released in September 2023.

Michigan Lawmaker to Replace Gallagher as Select Committee Chair This Month
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Michigan Lawmaker to Replace Gallagher as Select Committee Chair This Month

With Representative Mike Gallagher (R-WI) leaving Congress on April 19, House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) was tasked with picking Gallagher’s replacement to chair the Select Committee on the CCP.  Within a couple of days, Johnson chose Representative John Moolenaar (R-MI), a five-term congressman and current member of the select committee.