Research & Analysis

China’s Economy Resilient in Q1, Iran Conflict Clouds the Outlook
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China’s Economy Resilient in Q1, Iran Conflict Clouds the Outlook

According to official government data, China’s real GDP grew 5% year-on-year in the first three months of 2026 to 33.42 trillion yuan ($4.9 trillion), beating expectations and reversing the downward trend seen in the second half of 2025. Strong industrial output and foreign trade drove growth, but weak demand weighed on overall activity and clouds the outlook for the rest of the year.

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China Market Intelligence

China Market Intelligence

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Short takes on policy and regulatory actions that impact the business environment.

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Washington Update

Washington Update

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Weekly recaps of every noteworthy development in the US legislative and executive branches.

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US-China Trade Talks Gain Momentum After Leaders’ Call
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US-China Trade Talks Gain Momentum After Leaders’ Call

President Donald Trump is expected to meet President Xi Jinping in Seoul next month on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders’ summit in what would be the first in-person interaction between the two presidents since 2019. The announcement came from Trump last Friday on Truth Social, following his phone call with Xi earlier that day.

Intellectual Property (IP) Industry Update
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Intellectual Property (IP) Industry Update

On September 8, the National People’s Congress Standing Committee (NPCSC) reviewed the draft amendment to the existing Foreign Trade Law (FTL), which proposes expanding the law’s legislative objectives to include “safeguarding national sovereignty, security, and development interests.” The amendment also introduces provisions affirming that foreign trade should serve China’s broader economic and social development goals.

Article Banny Wang, June Xu
Trump and Xi to Finalize TikTok Deal, Tech Tensions Escalate
White House, DC
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Trump and Xi to Finalize TikTok Deal, Tech Tensions Escalate

Top US and Chinese trade officials met in Madrid earlier this week, with TikTok the center of discussions. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer led the US delegation, while Vice Premier He Lifeng and Li Chenggang, China’s chief trade negotiator, led the Chinese side.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
Financial Services Industry Update
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Financial Services Industry Update

In a statement released on June 6, the Shanghai Stock Exchange pledged to guide listed companies to raise the share and frequency of dividend distribution, as well as to make better use of tools such as share buybacks, M&As, and investor engagement. The SSE is hoping the moves will boost confidence in Chinese assets and make the domestic capital market more attractive for long-term investment.

Article Rachel Farmer, Allison Lapehn
Trump Expands Reciprocal Tariff Exclusions, NDAA Discussions Continue
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Trump Expands Reciprocal Tariff Exclusions, NDAA Discussions Continue

Trump issued an executive order last Friday modifying the scope of his reciprocal tariffs to expand exemptions for trading partners. It adds to the list of products exempted from these tariffs due their being impacted by pending or future Section 232 actions — such as certain critical minerals, chemicals, and solar cells — while removing other products like silicon, resin, and aluminum.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
What To Expect From China’s 15th Five-Year Plan
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What To Expect From China’s 15th Five-Year Plan

China’s National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is drafting the 15th five-year plan (FYP), which will loosely guide the country’s economic and social development from 2026 to 2030. Early signals from Politburo readouts, ministry-level research, scholars, and veteran FYP planners point to a focus on diversifying trade, deepening capital market access, and curbing industrial overcapacity.

China Market Intelligence Mike Wu
Expert Insights: Stephen Roach
Beijing skyline

Expert Insights: Stephen Roach

Stephen Roach is an American economist. He serves as senior fellow at Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center. He was formerly chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia and chief economist at Morgan Stanley, the New York City-based global investment bank. Roach’s current research program focuses on the impacts of Asia on the broader global economy.

Interview Ian Driscoll, Mira Anderson
Trump Seeks Supreme Court Tariff Ruling, NDAA Advances, and Working-Level Trade Meetings Conclude
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Trump Seeks Supreme Court Tariff Ruling, NDAA Advances, and Working-Level Trade Meetings Conclude

President Donald Trump on Wednesday asked the Supreme Court to rule on the legality of his tariffs. The request follows a federal appeals court ruling last Friday that the president lacks authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose reciprocal and fentanyl-related tariffs.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs
Chinese Trade Official in Washington, Congress to Resume China Agenda Next Week
Washington DC, White House
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Chinese Trade Official in Washington, Congress to Resume China Agenda Next Week

Senior Chinese trade negotiator Li Chenggang is meeting with US government officials in Washington this week following the 90-day trade truce extension announced earlier this month. Li is expected to speak with deputies from the Treasury Department and the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR). It is unknown whether discussions will include senior US officials.

Washington Update USCBC Government Affairs