China’s economy grew 5.4% in the first quarter of the year, largely driven by industrial output as exporters frontloaded shipments ahead of US tariffs.
Some estimates suggest US punitive tariffs on Chinese goods—currently standing at 145%—could slow down China’s GDP growth by over two percentage points in 2025.
Efforts are underway to help exporters pivot to the domestic market, but it is uncertain whether there will be sufficient demand to absorb the redirected supply.