China Market Intelligence

The US AI Action Plan is a strategic shift from the previous administration’s more restrictive AI Diffusion Rule to promoting the global export and adoption of American AI technology. The plan envisages a future in which the United States leads in developing and deploying AI globally, while restricting access for geopolitical competitors such as China.

Amid rising deflation and falling profits across industries, Beijing is intensifying efforts to rein in “involution-style” competition, or cutthroat price wars that sacrifice product quality and distort market order. At a July 1 Central Financial and Economic Affairs Commission meeting, President Xi Jinping emphasized the need to curb disorderly price competition, improve product quality, and phase out outdated production capacity.

Beijing is contemplating how to secure a foothold in the international monetary system as Washington pushes ahead with dollar-linked stablecoins to solidify the greenback’s dominance. Today’s total stablecoin market capitalization is roughly $265 billion, with US dollar-denominated stablecoins accounting for about 99% of the global market.

Companies remain anxious over outstanding export approvals of dual-use items critical to their operations, even while approvals of items like rare earth magnets are picking up. At a recent closed-door meeting, USCBC learned that China’s Ministry of Commerce is exploring new procedures to ease delays.

In the first half of 2025, China achieved GDP growth of 5.2% year-over-year, slightly surpassing expectations. Growth was driven primarily by exports amid a prolonged housing slump, declining industrial demand, and subdued consumer confidence.

USCBC’s annual survey delves into the top challenges, opportunities, and priorities of US companies in China. Here are three themes that dominated the results this year.

The United States and China have signed a yet-to-be-released framework capturing agreements made between chief negotiators in London last month. Trump on June 11 posted on Truth Social that the China trade deal was complete and that full magnets, and any necessary rare earths, will be supplied up front by China.

China unveiled new financial opening measures during the Lujiazui Forum in Shanghai last month, timing several additional policy announcements to coincide with the event. Each summer, the forum convenes top regulators from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), and the National Financial Regulation Administration (NFRA) to signal policy directions and preview reform priorities for the financial sector.

A subset of lawmakers have long argued that listing on US exchanges allows Chinese firms to benefit from American capital while supporting China’s military modernization efforts. In his first term, President Donald Trump launched an effort to prohibit US investments in Chinese companies deemed to be connected to China’s military, resulting in the delisting of several major Chinese state-owned enterprises.

By offering an avenue for Beijing to reorient its exports and for Washington to strengthen existing China trade restrictions, third countries are becoming a key front in bilateral trade conflict.